The groups for the 2026 FIFA World Cup are now set. The draw ceremony took place in Washington D.C. on Friday. It mapped the path for 42 qualified nations ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament.The final six spots will be decided in playoffs next March. According to analysis by Sports Illustrated, one group stands out as the most competitive based on official FIFA rankings.
Surprising Group Tops Difficulty Rankings
Sports Illustrated calculated the average FIFA world ranking for each drawn group. The analysis included projected rankings for the playoff paths. The results revealed a clear leader.Group F ranks as the toughest. It contains the Netherlands, Japan, and Tunisia. It will also feature the winner of a difficult UEFA playoff path containing Ukraine, Sweden, Poland, or Albania.This gives Group F an average world ranking of just 26. The strength of the playoff contender sealed its status. It is technically the hardest path to the knockout stages.

Star-Studded Contenders and Host Nations’ Paths
Other difficult groups captured more immediate attention. Group I features heavyweights France and Senegal alongside Norway. Group L is a 2018 rematch for England against Croatia and Panama, plus Ghana.Both groups share an average ranking of 29. Meanwhile, the host nations received manageable draws. The USMNT’s Group D is the fifth-toughest, featuring Australia and Paraguay.Canada’s Group B is ranked eighth for difficulty. Mexico’s Group A is seen as slightly easier in ninth place. This sets a favorable stage for the co-hosts to progress.
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The 2026 World Cup draw has set the stage for a historic tournament. The identified Group of Death will provide an early, major test for the teams involved. Fans can expect intense drama from the very first match.
Thought you’d like to know
Which group is the hardest in the 2026 World Cup?
Based on FIFA rankings, Group F is the hardest. It includes the Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, and a tough UEFA playoff winner. Its average ranking is 26.
Who is in the USMNT’s World Cup group?
The United States is in Group D. They will play Australia, Paraguay, and a UEFA playoff winner. Their group is the fifth-most difficult.
What is a “Group of Death” in soccer?
It is an informal term for a tournament group with several highly ranked, strong teams. It makes advancement to the knockout stage very challenging for all involved.
When does the 2026 World Cup start?
The tournament begins in June 2026. It will be hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The exact match schedule was confirmed after the draw.
How many teams are in the 2026 World Cup?
The tournament is expanding to 48 teams. They will be divided into 12 groups of four. This is a change from the previous 32-team format.
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