Oregon vs San Diego State Prediction: Ducks Favored in Tight Vegas Clash

The Oregon Ducks are predicted to narrowly defeat the San Diego State Aztecs. This high-stakes college basketball game is set for November 25, 2025. It will be held at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas.

Expert analysis from FOX Sports favors the Ducks 76-73. The game is a crucial part of the Players Era Festival tournament. Both teams are seeking momentum early in the season.

Team Form and Key Players Analyzed

Oregon enters the game with a 4-1 record. Their only loss was an 84-73 defeat against No. 21 Auburn. They are looking to rebound strongly.

Nathan Bittle leads the Ducks with 17.0 points per game. He also averages an impressive 9.2 rebounds. Jackson Shelstad provides crucial support with 16.0 points and 5.8 assists per contest.

San Diego State holds a 2-2 record. They are recovering from a devastating 94-54 loss to Michigan. That loss was their worst defeat in over two decades.

Breaking Down the Point Spread and Odds

Oregon is a 2.5-point favorite according to most sportsbooks. This spread suggests a very close game is expected. The over/under for total points is set at 140.5.

The Ducks have struggled against the spread this season. They are 0-5 ATS despite their strong win record. This trend creates concern for bettors backing Oregon to cover.

San Diego State has a mixed record as an underdog. They covered in four of ten games last season when getting at least 2.5 points. The Aztecs’ ability to keep games close is well documented.

Game Statistics at a Glance

Oregon averages 76.5 points per game offensively. They allow 70.9 points per game on defense. Their offensive firepower is a key advantage.

San Diego State scores 70.8 points per game. Their defense is slightly better, conceding only 64.6 points per game. This sets up a classic offense-versus-defense battle.

Tournament Implications and Historical Context

The Players Era Festival offers significant NIL money to participants. Every team receives a share of a $1 million prize pool. The tournament winner gets an additional $1 million.

Oregon leads the all-time series against San Diego State 4-3. They won last season’s matchup 78-68. Historical data gives a slight edge to the Ducks.

This game has major implications for non-conference resumes. A strong showing can boost NCAA tournament seeding later in the season. Both teams understand what is at stake.

The Oregon vs San Diego State prediction hinges on which team controls the tempo. Oregon’s offensive talent faces a stern test against San Diego State’s defensive resilience in what promises to be a compelling Las Vegas showdown.

Dropping this nugget your way

What time is the Oregon vs San Diego State game?

The game tips off at 8 p.m. PT on Tuesday, November 25. It will be broadcast live on TNT. The location is Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas.

Who is favored to win between Oregon and San Diego State?

Oregon is a 2.5-point favorite according to most oddsmakers. The moneyline odds sit at -141 for the Ducks. This implies roughly a 58% win probability for Oregon.

What was the score when these teams last met?

Oregon defeated San Diego State 78-68 last season. The game was part of an earlier tournament. The Ducks have won the last two meetings between these programs.

How has San Diego State performed against the spread?

The Aztecs are 1-3 against the spread this season. They were more successful last year, covering in four of ten games as underdogs. Their ATS performance has been inconsistent.

What is the Players Era Festival?

It is a college basketball tournament featuring 18 teams. The event distributes $1 million in NIL money to all participants. The winning team receives an additional $1 million prize.