Alabama vs Auburn Prediction: Crimson Tide Favored in Tight Iron Bowl Clash

No. 10 Alabama faces Auburn this Saturday in the Iron Bowl. The game kicks off at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Alabama enters as a 6-point road favorite according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

The Crimson Tide seeks its seventh consecutive win in the historic rivalry. Recent history suggests a close game, especially with the contest being held at Auburn’s home field.

Betting Lines and Key Player Props

The total for the game is set at 46.5 points. The moneyline and spread indicate confidence in Alabama, but not by a wide margin. This reflects the unpredictable nature of the rivalry.

Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson is a key player to watch. He is coming off a season-low 147-yard performance. A prop bet for Simpson to throw for 270+ yards is available at -136.

Auburn’s pass defense ranks 110th nationally in EPA/Pass. This could provide a bounce-back opportunity for Simpson and the Alabama offense. For Auburn, running back Jeremiah Cobb will be crucial against Alabama’s stout defense.

Historical Trends and Final Pick Analysis

Alabama holds a strong 7-3-1 record against the spread this season. However, their performance on the road has been less consistent, covering only once away from home.

Auburn has struggled against the spread, posting a 4-6-1 record. They covered at home for the first time just last week against a weaker opponent. This does not inspire confidence against a top-tier team like Alabama.

The winner of the last three Iron Bowls at Jordan-Hare Stadium was decided by three points or less. While this trend points to a tight game, Alabama’s superior defense is the decisive factor.

The final prediction leans on Alabama’s defensive strength to cover the spread. Expect a hard-fought game, but the Crimson Tide should secure the victory and the cover.

Thought you’d like to know-

What is the point spread for the Alabama vs Auburn game?

Alabama is a 6-point favorite against Auburn. The line is set by DraftKings Sportsbook. This means Alabama must win by more than 6 points to cover.

How has Alabama performed against the spread this season?

Alabama has a strong 7-3-1 record against the spread. Their record on the road, however, is less impressive. They have covered only once in away games.

What is the over/under for the Iron Bowl?

The total for the game is 46.5 points. The odds for the over are -115. The under is listed at -105.

Why is Auburn considered a live underdog at home?

The last three Iron Bowls at Jordan-Hare were decided by a field goal or less. Auburn’s home-field advantage in this rivalry is significant. This history makes them a dangerous opponent despite the spread.

Which Auburn player could impact the game the most?

Running back Jeremiah Cobb is key for Auburn. He has nearly 1,000 rushing yards this season. Moving the ball on the ground is critical against Alabama’s elite pass defense.