Alabama vs UNLV Prediction: Crimson Tide Heavily Favored in Las Vegas Clash

Sportsbooks project a decisive victory for the Alabama Crimson Tide against the UNLV Rebels. The game is scheduled for Wednesday, November 26, 2025, at the MGM Grand Garden Arena. Alabama enters as a commanding 13.5-point favorite according to major betting outlets.

This matchup is a key non-conference test for both teams. Analysts see it as a chance for Alabama to solidify its top-ten ranking.

Expert Analysis Points to Alabama’s Overwhelming Edge

Vegas odds heavily favor the Crimson Tide with a -1300 moneyline. This implies a 94% probability of an Alabama victory straight up. The point spread has remained steady at 13.5 points across most sportsbooks.

According to ESPN, Alabama’s defensive intensity is a primary reason for the lopsided line. Their ability to disrupt three-point shooting directly counters UNLV’s offensive strategy. This fundamental mismatch is a key factor in expert predictions.

Breaking Down the Key Matchup Factors

UNLV’s inconsistent performance makes them a risky bet against the spread. The Rebels are coming off a poor offensive showing where they scored only 67 points. Their shooting percentage plummeted to 36.7% in that loss.

Alabama’s record stands at 3-2, while UNLV sits at 3-3. The Crimson Tide’s two losses came against other highly-ranked opponents. Their strength of schedule is significantly tougher than UNLV’s early-season slate.

Betting Trends and the Smarter Play

The total points line, or Over/Under, is set at 181.5. Some analysts are leaning toward the Under as the sharper bet. UNLV’s recent scoring struggles suggest they may not help push the total past that high number.

The Associated Press poll consistently ranks Alabama in the top ten for a reason. Their roster depth and coaching create a sustainable advantage. This is why the spread is so substantial despite both teams having similar win-loss records.

The final Alabama vs UNLV prediction is clear: expect the Crimson Tide to cover the large spread. Their defensive discipline and UNLV’s offensive unreliability are the defining factors. This game should end with a double-digit Alabama win.

Info at your fingertips

What is the point spread for Alabama vs UNLV?

Alabama is favored by 13.5 points. This means they need to win by 14 or more points to cover the spread for bettors.

Where is the Alabama vs UNLV game being played?

The game is at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. It is a neutral-site contest, though UNLV is the local team.

What are the moneyline odds for this game?

Alabama’s moneyline is around -1300. UNLV’s moneyline is approximately +800, offering a significant payout for an upset.

What is the Over/Under for total points scored?

The total is set at 181.5 points. Bettors can wager on whether the combined score will be over or under that number.

Why is Alabama such a heavy favorite?

Alabama is a top-ten team with superior defense and talent. UNLV has shown inconsistency, especially against high-level competition.

What is UNLV’s chance of pulling an upset?

Sportsbooks give UNLV about a 17% implied probability to win. They would need a near-perfect game and a poor performance from Alabama.