The Dallas Cowboys’ playoff aspirations suffered a critical setback on Thursday night. They fell 44-30 to the Detroit Lions at AT&T Stadium. The loss drops the Cowboys to a 6-6-1 record this season. It significantly damages their chances of reaching the postseason.According to ESPN’s analytics, the defeat caused a severe drop in their playoff probability. A win would have nearly doubled their odds. Instead, they now face a steep uphill climb with just four games remaining.
Defensive Collapse and Costly Turnovers Seal Dallas’ Fate
The Cowboys’ defense, recently improved, was overwhelmed. Lions quarterback Jared Goff picked apart the secondary. He threw for 309 yards and a touchdown on Thursday night.Rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs added three touchdowns for Detroit. The Lions controlled the game from start to finish. The loss pushed Detroit to an 8-5 record.Dallas’ offense gained 417 total yards. It was not enough to overcome mistakes. A Jake Ferguson fumble and two Dak Prescott interceptions proved costly.The Lions scored touchdowns following both the fumble and the first interception. Those 14 points off turnovers were a decisive factor. The Cowboys could not recover from the self-inflicted wounds.

A Narrowing Path to the Postseason
The loss leaves Dallas in 10th place in the NFC standings. They are three games behind the San Francisco 49ers for the final wild-card spot. Winning the NFC East is now their most plausible path.They trail the 8-4 Philadelphia Eagles by two games in the division race. The Cowboys need help from other teams to catch Philadelphia. They must also win their own remaining games.Their final schedule offers some hope. They face the Vikings, Commanders, and Giants, all with losing records. A Week 16 clash with the Chargers is their toughest remaining test.The Cowboys now need the Eagles to lose several of their final five games. Philadelphia faces the Chargers, Bills, and others. Dallas will be a major Chargers fan this Monday night.
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The Cowboys playoff hopes now hang by a thread after the Lions defeat. Their margin for error is completely gone. They must win out and get significant help to keep their season alive.
Info at your fingertips
What are the Cowboys’ playoff odds now?
Their odds plummeted to just 7% after the loss. A win would have boosted them to 36%. The defeat was a massive blow to their postseason probability.
Who do the Cowboys play next?
They host the Minnesota Vikings in Week 15. This becomes a must-win game for Dallas. Their entire season likely depends on getting a victory.
Can the Cowboys still win the NFC East?
Yes, but it requires the Eagles to lose at least three of their last five games. Dallas must also win all of its remaining four contests. It is a difficult but possible scenario.
What went wrong against the Lions?
The defense could not stop Detroit’s offense. Two critical turnovers led directly to 14 Lions points. The team failed to execute in all phases of the game.
What is the best-case record for Dallas?
The best they can finish is 10-6-1 if they win all remaining games. That record might still not be enough for a playoff berth. It heavily depends on other teams’ results.
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