Jaylen Waddle vs. Steelers: Can the Dolphins WR1 Deliver on Monday Night?

Jaylen Waddle and the Miami Dolphins face the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football on December 15 at Acrisure Stadium. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN, with both teams still in the AFC playoff picture.

The Dolphins enter at 6–7, while the Steelers are 7–6 and leading the AFC North. The matchup puts a spotlight on Waddle, Miami’s top wide receiver, against a Pittsburgh defense known for pressure and man coverage.

Jaylen Waddle vs. Steelers: Key Stats and Usage Trends

Jaylen Waddle’s recent production has been steady but modest by WR1 standards. Over his last three games, he is averaging 6.7 targets, 3.7 receptions, and 47.3 receiving yards per game, according to league tracking data.

The Dolphins’ offense has leaned more heavily on the run. Miami carries a 45.3 percent rush-play rate, ranking 13th in the NFL, with De’Von Achane serving as the focal point. That balance has limited overall passing volume, especially in neutral game scripts.

Waddle’s efficiency varies sharply by coverage type. Pro Football Focus data shows he averages 2.72 yards per route run against zone coverage. That number drops to 1.63 yards per route when facing man coverage.

Pittsburgh relies on man coverage at one of the highest rates in the league. Sharp Football Analysis ranks the Steelers fifth in man-coverage usage. Against teams in the top tier of man coverage, Waddle has averaged just under 50 receiving yards per game this season.

Game flow could further affect his opportunities. According to Sumer Sports, Pittsburgh allows fewer expected points added per dropback than per rushing attempt. That profile often encourages opponents to stay patient with the run, especially early.

Protection is another concern for Miami. ESPN metrics place the Dolphins 27th in pass block win rate. Pittsburgh ranks third in pass rush win rate, creating a challenging environment for deeper routes to develop.

What the Matchup Could Mean on Monday Night Football

Waddle’s role may hinge on how the game unfolds. If Miami falls behind, the passing volume could rise, increasing his target share. If the Dolphins remain competitive, the offense is likely to continue flowing through Achane and the ground game.

The Steelers’ defensive approach is designed to limit explosive plays. Their man-heavy scheme and consistent pressure often force shorter throws and quick decisions. That can cap downfield production for wide receivers.

Still, Waddle remains Miami’s most dynamic receiver. His speed and route-running give him the ability to change a game with limited touches. Even in lower-volume outings, he can produce chunk plays if coverage breaks down.

Jaylen Waddle vs. Steelers will be a test of efficiency more than volume. How he handles tight coverage and pressure will shape Miami’s passing success on Monday night.

FYI (keeping you in the loop)-

Q1: How has Jaylen Waddle performed recently?

Waddle is averaging fewer than 50 receiving yards per game over his last three outings. His targets remain steady, but overall passing volume has dipped.

Q2: Why is the Steelers defense a tough matchup?

Pittsburgh uses man coverage at a high rate and generates strong pass rush pressure. Both factors can limit receiver separation and time to throw.

Q3: Does Miami’s run-heavy approach affect Waddle?

Yes. Miami’s offense features a higher-than-average rush rate, which can reduce total pass attempts and wide receiver volume.

Q4: Can Waddle still have a big game?

He can. Waddle’s speed allows him to produce explosive plays even on limited targets, especially if the Dolphins need to push the pace.

Q5: What should fans watch early?

Early play-calling will be key. If Miami attacks through the air early, Waddle’s involvement could rise throughout the game.