Why Man United Are Favored Against Everton at Old Trafford

Man United vs Everton Prediction: Home Dominance Points to Red Devils Victory

Manchester United faces Everton at Old Trafford on Monday, November 24, 2025. The match kicks off at 3 p.m. ET. United is the heavy favorite with a 51-57% win probability.

This Premier League clash pits a dominant home side against a struggling away team. According to Reuters, the historical data heavily favors the hosts.

Man United vs Everton prediction

Historical Dominance Favors the Red Devils

Manchester United’s record against Everton is overwhelmingly positive. They have won 97 of their previous meetings. Everton has only managed 71 victories.

The last five fixtures show United with four wins and one draw. Everton has not beaten United at Old Trafford since 2013. That is a 32-year winless streak for the Toffees at this venue.

Manager David Moyes has a poor personal record at his former home. He has failed to win in 17 visits as an opposing manager. This historical context is hard to ignore.

Old Trafford Remains a Fortress

United’s home form this season is formidable. They are currently on a 23-game unbeaten run at Old Trafford. This streak includes 20 wins and 3 draws.

The team has scored 52 goals during this impressive run. They have conceded only 12. This defensive solidity has resulted in 13 clean sheets.

Their only home league loss this season was a narrow 1-0 defeat to Arsenal. Since then, they have been virtually untouchable. This creates a massive mental hurdle for visiting teams.

Everton’s Away Struggles Compound the Challenge

Everton’s form on the road presents a clear weakness. They have only one win in their five away matches this season. Their record stands at one win, one draw, and three losses.

While they secured a 2-0 win against Fulham, losses to top sides like Manchester City and Tottenham highlight a pattern. They often struggle against organized, high-pressing teams away from Goodison Park.

The tactical matchup does not favor them. United’s preferred 3-4-2-1 formation allows them to control possession and tempo. Everton’s 4-2-3-1 may be overrun in midfield.

What the Statistics and Analysts Say

Statistical models from major sports analytics firms consistently project a United win. The 51-57% probability is not just based on sentiment. It is backed by current form, player availability, and historical data.

Key injuries or suspensions could always shift the balance, but United’s squad depth is superior. They have more options to change the game from the bench.

Betting markets reflect this consensus. Moneyline odds across major sportsbooks firmly install United as the expected winner. An Everton victory would be a major upset.

The data points decisively toward a Manchester United victory. Their home dominance and Everton’s travel woes make a compelling case. This Man United vs Everton prediction hinges on patterns that have held true for over a decade.

Thought you’d like to know

What is Manchester United’s recent form?

United is unbeaten in their last 23 home games. Their recent matches include draws with Tottenham and Nottingham Forest, and wins against Brighton and Chelsea.

How has Everton performed in away games?

Everton has struggled on the road this season. They have only one win in five away matches, with one draw and three losses.

What is the historical head-to-head record?

Manchester United dominates the fixture with 97 wins to Everton’s 71. There have been 48 draws between the two clubs throughout history.

When did Everton last win at Old Trafford?

Everton’s last victory at Old Trafford was in 2013. They have failed to win there in their last 32 attempts across all competitions.

Who are the key players to watch?

For United, their attacking midfielders will be crucial. Everton will rely heavily on Iliman Ndiaye and the creativity of loanee Jack Grealish.

What are the stakes for this match?

A win could push United as high as 4th place. Everton, with a victory, could leapfrog rivals Liverpool in the table.