The Miami Hurricanes suffered their first defeat of the season last week. They fell 24-21 to the Louisville Cardinals in a key ACC matchup. This loss impacted their path to the conference championship game.

However, their overall resumé keeps them in the national conversation. According to ESPN analyst Greg McElroy, Miami still holds a strong position for a potential College Football Playoff at-large bid.
ACC Championship Path Gets Complicated
The loss to Louisville created a significant hurdle. McElroy noted that Louisville now holds a head-to-head advantage and a game-and-a-half lead over Miami. Just a week ago, the conference title seemed destined to go through Coral Gables.
Miami’s current record stands at 5-1. They boast three impressive victories over teams that were ranked in the Top 25 at the time. This strength of record is a critical factor for the playoff committee to consider.
Notre Dame Victory Keys At-Large Playoff Bid
Analysts point to one win as Miami’s golden ticket. Their head-to-head victory over Notre Dame gives them a powerful argument for an at-large playoff spot. Even if they don’t win the ACC, that win could propel them into the top 12.
McElroy believes Miami has the best chance for an at-large berth from the ACC. This is largely because of that Notre Dame result. A 10-2 Miami team would have a compelling case against other contenders.
The clearest path forward is simple. Miami must win their remaining games. This would put them at 11-1 and likely into the ACC Championship.
Their schedule includes challenging road games at SMU, Virginia Tech, and Pitt. The game against SMU is particularly crucial for conference tie-breakers. Handling these tests will define their season.
The Miami Hurricanes’ playoff chances are still very real. Their fate remains firmly in their own hands. Winning out would secure a spectacular season and almost certainly a coveted playoff spot.
Thought you’d like to know
What is Miami’s biggest advantage for a playoff spot?
Their win over Notre Dame is their biggest asset. This head-to-head victory against a likely playoff contender gives them a strong argument for an at-large bid, even without an ACC title.
Can Miami still win the ACC Championship?
Yes, but their path is more difficult. They need to win their remaining conference games and hope Louisville loses at least twice to have a chance at the title game.
What is the most important game left on Miami’s schedule?
The road game against SMU on November 1st is critical. A win gives Miami the head-to-head tiebreaker over another strong ACC contender and keeps their championship hopes alive.
How did the loss to Louisville change Miami’s season?
It shifted control of the ACC Atlantic division to Louisville. Miami no longer controls its own destiny for the conference championship game and must rely on other results.
Why are analysts still high on Miami after a loss?
Their overall resumé remains strong with three ranked wins. The quality of their victories, especially over Notre Dame, keeps them in the playoff conversation despite the setback.
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