New Mexico Bowl Betting Lines Shift as San Diego State Embraces Underdog Role

The San Diego State Aztecs face the North Texas Mean Green this Saturday. The game is the Isleta New Mexico Bowl in Albuquerque. Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. PT on ESPN.

Betting lines have moved significantly against the Aztecs. They opened as 3.5-point underdogs but are now 5.5-point underdogs according to FanDuel. This shift highlights the perceived strength of North Texas’s high-powered offense.

Aztecs Seek Redemption on Familiar Turf

The bowl game location holds tough memories for San Diego State. They suffered a painful double-overtime loss there to New Mexico in October. That defeat ultimately cost them a spot in the Mountain West championship game.

Despite that, the Aztecs had a resurgent season. They finished with a 9-3 record, a six-win improvement from 2023. A victory would give them their first 10-win season since 2021.

This game also marks the end of an era. It is San Diego State’s final contest as a Mountain West member. The team will join the reconstituted Pac-12 conference next fall.

Analysts Favor High-Scoring Mean Green Victory

Most predictions side with North Texas. The Mean Green boast the nation’s top-ranked offense. They enter with an 11-2 record after a loss in the American Conference title game.

Various models and analysts have published their picks. ESPN’s SP+ metrics give North Texas a 70% chance to win. The prediction from that model is a 32-24 victory for the Mean Green.

Other outlets forecast a higher score. Odds Shark’s computer prediction is a 46-30 North Texas win. It also predicts the game will go over the 53-point total.

Not everyone is counting the Aztecs out. Bleacher Report’s David Kenyon predicts a 28-24 San Diego State upset. He has picked the Aztecs to win in their last three game predictions.

The New Mexico Bowl presents a classic offense-versus-narrative clash. San Diego State aims to cap its Mountain West tenure with a statement win as a substantial underdog. All eyes will be on Albuquerque to see if the Aztecs can defy the latest betting odds.

Info at your fingertips

What time is the New Mexico Bowl?

The San Diego State vs. North Texas game kicks off at 2:45 p.m. Pacific Time on Saturday. It will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Why are the Aztecs such big underdogs?

The betting line moved due to North Texas’s number one ranked offense. Their potent scoring ability has influenced analysts and oddsmakers significantly.

Where is the New Mexico Bowl played?

The game is at University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. This is the same field where SDSU lost a key conference game earlier this season.

What is the over/under for the game?

The total points over/under is set at 53.5 points. This suggests oddsmakers expect a relatively high-scoring contest.

Is this San Diego State’s last bowl game?

No, but it is their final game as a Mountain West conference member. The Aztecs will begin play in the Pac-12 starting next season.

Trusted Sources: FanDuel, ESPN, Bleacher Report, Dimers.com, Odds Shark, Sportsbook Wire.