New Poll Shows Tight Race as Andrew Cuomo Narrows Gap Against Zohran Mamdani

A new political survey reveals a tightening contest in the New York City mayoral race. The poll from AtlasIntel shows Democrat Zohran Mamdani leading with 43.9% support. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo, running as an independent, follows closely with 39.4%.

The survey was conducted in early November and involved over 2,400 participants. According to data reported by the New York Post, the gap between the two leading candidates has decreased significantly in recent days. This shift indicates a highly competitive race is developing.

Polling Data Reveals Significant Shifts

The latest numbers show a notable change from previous polling. Just one day prior, the same polling firm had Cuomo trailing Mamdani by six points. Curtis Sliwa, the GOP nominee, holds third place with 15.5% of the vote.

The dynamics change in a hypothetical two-way race without Sliwa. In that scenario, Cuomo actually tops Mamdani 49.7% to 44.1%. This suggests that Cuomo draws support from a broader political base. The contest remains too close to call with any certainty.

Analyzing the Broader Electoral Impact

The poll’s demographic breakdown has drawn some analysis. It appears to overestimate the Republican and independent vote share while undercounting Democrats. Early voting data shows Democrats accounted for over 73% of actual votes cast.

This discrepancy is important for understanding the race’s true state. If the poll’s sample does not accurately reflect the electorate, the results could be skewed. Voter turnout among different groups will ultimately decide the election’s outcome.

The latest Andrew Cuomo poll numbers confirm a dramatic comeback attempt is underway. This sets the stage for a fiercely contested final stretch. The political future of New York City now hangs in the balance.

Info at your fingertips

Who conducted this political poll?

The survey was conducted by AtlasIntel. It sampled just over 2,400 voters. The margin of error is approximately 2 percentage points.

What was Andrew Cuomo’s support level?

Andrew Cuomo received 39.4% support in the poll. This represents a significant increase of 5.4 points since the previous survey. He trails the Democratic front-runner by just 4.5 points.

How does Curtis Sliwa factor into the race?

Curtis Sliwa, the GOP nominee, holds 15.5% support. His presence in the race affects the dynamics between the leading candidates. His supporters could prove decisive in a tight election.

What happens in a two-way race between Mamdani and Cuomo?

Cuomo leads Mamdani 49.7% to 44.1% in a hypothetical two-way matchup. This suggests Cuomo has broader appeal when third-party candidates are removed. The outcome would likely depend heavily on voter turnout.

Why is the poll’s party breakdown significant?

The poll’s sample shows Democrats at 59%, which is lower than their actual early voting participation of 73%. This potential undercounting could affect the accuracy of the projections. The final result may differ based on actual voter composition.