Donald Trump’s Nobel Prize Odds and Award Money

The Norwegian Nobel Committee will announce the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner this Friday. Speculation has intensified around former US President Donald Trump. He has openly campaigned for the prestigious award.

Experts from the Associated Press and other major news outlets say his chances are minimal. The committee’s decision was finalized months ago, long before recent geopolitical events.

Historians and prize experts in Oslo have dismissed the possibility. Asle Sveen, a noted Peace Prize historian, told AFP he is “100 percent certain” Trump will not win. He stated the committee’s choice is already made.

The recent Gaza ceasefire occurred after the nomination deadline passed. Sveen also noted Trump’s prior support for Israel’s military campaign contradicts peace-building principles.

The committee’s values of international fraternity often conflict with an “America First” foreign policy. This fundamental misalignment makes a Trump victory highly unlikely according to analysts.

The “Peace President” Record and Public Campaign

Trump has repeatedly claimed credit for international peace efforts. He cites his role in conflicts between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Serbia and Kosovo, and others. His son, Eric Trump, publicly urged social media users to support the nomination.

The White House official account also labeled him “The Peace President.” Trump himself has touted what he calls an “unmatched record in peacemaking.”

However, some claims have been disputed. India publicly rejected the idea that US pressure led to its ceasefire with Pakistan. The Russia-Ukraine war also remains unresolved despite his promises.

The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize announcement will ultimately test the gap between self-promotion and the committee’s established criteria. The world will see if the “Peace President” narrative holds any weight in Oslo.

Info at your fingertips

Who decides the Nobel Peace Prize winner?

The Norwegian Nobel Committee, composed of five members appointed by Norway’s parliament, selects the laureate. Their decision is based on the criteria in Alfred Nobel’s will.

How much money does the Nobel Peace Prize winner receive?

The prize includes a cash award of 11 million Swedish kronor. This is equivalent to approximately $1.2 million USD for the recipient.

Did Trump’s involvement in the Gaza ceasefire help his chances?

No, experts confirm it had no impact. The committee’s decision was finalized long before the recent ceasefire was announced, making it ineligible for consideration.

What was the main reason experts gave for Trump’s low odds?

Analysts cited a fundamental misalignment with the prize’s core values. The “America First” approach conflicts with the international fraternity and durable peace the committee seeks.

Who won the Nobel Peace Prize last year?

The 2024 prize was awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, a Japanese group of atomic bomb survivors. They were recognized for their campaign against nuclear weapons.