North London Derby Odds Heavily Favor Arsenal for Sunday Clash

Arsenal enters this weekend’s North London Derby as commanding favorites. The Gunners host rivals Tottenham Hotspur at Emirates Stadium this Sunday. Kickoff is set for 4:30 PM GMT. The match carries significant weight for the Premier League’s top-four race.

Current form and historical data strongly support Arsenal’s favored status. According to Reuters, betting markets reflect a dominant win probability for the home side. This high-stakes derby is one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season.

Betting Markets and Supercomputers Predict Arsenal Victory

The consensus from major sportsbooks is clear. Arsenal’s moneyline odds sit between -235 and -250. This translates to an implied win probability of approximately 71%.

Analytics firm Opta supports this outlook with its own projection. Their supercomputer gives Arsenal a 69% chance of securing all three points. Tottenham’s win probability is calculated at a mere 13.7%.

This confidence stems from Arsenal’s recent performances. The team is unbeaten in its last five league matches. They have secured four wins and one draw during this strong run.

Historical Dominance and Current Form Collide

Arsenal’s recent record against Tottenham is overwhelmingly positive. The Gunners have won five of the last six meetings between these rivals. They are now seeking a fourth consecutive league victory over Spurs.

A win on Sunday would achieve a historic milestone. Arsenal has never beaten Tottenham four times in a row in the Premier League era. This adds extra motivation for Mikel Arteta’s squad.

Their derby day prowess extends beyond this single rivalry. The team is currently on a 14-game unbeaten streak in London derbies. This run dates back to May 2022.

Tottenham’s Struggles Compound the Challenge

Tottenham faces a difficult task overcoming their poor home form. Their record at home in 2025 is the worst in the club’s history. They have lost 64.3% of their Premier League home games this calendar year.

This contrasts sharply with Arsenal’s solidity at the Emirates. The Gunners have turned their home ground into a fortress. This disparity further widens the gap between the two sides.

Team news also appears to favor the hosts. Arsenal reports a near fully-fit squad. Tottenham, however, is monitoring several key players with minor knocks.

All evidence points toward a decisive Arsenal advantage in this North London Derby. The combination of current form, historical dominance, and home support creates a perfect storm for the Gunners. Sunday’s match represents more than just points; it is a chance to cement local supremacy.

Thought you’d like to know

What time does the North London Derby start?

The match kicks off at 4:30 PM GMT on Sunday. It will be broadcast live on major sports networks. Local pubs and official fan zones will also be showing the game.

Have Arsenal ever won four derbies in a row?

No, Arsenal has never achieved four consecutive league wins against Tottenham. A victory on Sunday would set a new Premier League record for the club. It would mark a significant historical milestone.

What is Tottenham’s home record in 2025?

Tottenham has lost 64.3% of their home league games in 2025. This is their worst home record in a calendar year. The statistic highlights their ongoing struggles at their own ground.

How does this match affect the top four race?

A win would solidify Arsenal’s position in the Champions League places. It would also create a larger gap between them and their rivals. The result could define the remainder of the season for both clubs.

Who are the key players to watch?

Arsenal’s attacking midfielders are in superb form. Tottenham will rely heavily on their captain to organize the defense. The battle in the center of the park will likely decide the match.