Northern Arizona University’s football team faces a must-win game. They travel to play Weber State on Saturday, November 22. Kickoff is at 1 p.m. MST at Stewart Stadium in Ogden, Utah. The 23rd-ranked Lumberjacks need a victory to secure an FCS Playoff berth.
Weber State enters the contest with a 3-8 record. They will honor 18 seniors in their final home game. Despite their record, senior day emotions can create a dangerous challenge for any visiting team.
Season Finale With Major Implications
The Lumberjacks hold a 7-4 record. They are 4-3 in the competitive Big Sky Conference. According to NAU Athletics, an 8-4 record is the team’s clear path to the postseason. A loss would likely end their playoff dreams.
Weber State’s season has been difficult. Their 1-6 conference record places them near the bottom. The Standard-Examiner notes the Wildcats hope to send their seniors out with a memorable upset victory at home. This game is also for the Red Rock Rivalry trophy.
Northern Arizona has won the last two meetings. The all-time series is incredibly tight, with NAU leading 29-28. History adds another layer of drama to this high-stakes finale.
Statistical Breakdown Favors the Lumberjacks
On paper, Northern Arizona appears stronger. Their offense averages over 33 points per game against FCS opponents. The defense allows about 29 points per contest. The team also boasts a positive turnover margin.
Weber State’s defense has struggled this season. They allow nearly 35 points per game. Their offense averages just 24 points against FCS competition. Ball security has been a significant issue, contributing to a negative turnover margin.
Key players will decide this game. NAU quarterback Ty Pennington has passed for over 5,000 career yards. Receiver Kolbe Katsis ranks in the FCS top 10 for yards and touchdowns. For Weber State, kicker Sloan Calder is a national leader in made field goals.
A Final Analysis and Prediction
Analytical models strongly favor Northern Arizona. Multiple projections give the Lumberjacks an 80% or greater chance to win. The consensus score prediction is around a two-touchdown victory for the visiting team.
The Lumberjacks’ motivation is undeniable. A playoff spot is the ultimate prize. Their recent form, with two straight wins, shows a team peaking at the right moment. They control their own destiny.
Weber State’s hope lies in emotion and home field. Senior day can inspire extraordinary effort. An early break or turnover could shift momentum. The Wildcats will play loose with nothing to lose.
The Northern Arizona vs Weber State clash is a classic high-stakes season finale. Expect the Lumberjacks to play with focused intensity to claim their playoff berth.
Thought you’d like to know
What do the Lumberjacks need to make the FCS playoffs?
Northern Arizona needs to win this game. An 8-4 record should be enough for an at-large playoff bid. A loss would almost certainly eliminate them from contention.
What time does the NAU vs Weber State game start?
The game kicks off at 1 p.m. Mountain Standard Time. It will be played at Weber State’s Stewart Stadium in Ogden, Utah.
How can I watch or listen to the game?
Broadcast details are typically announced by the schools and conference. Check local listings or the ESPN+ streaming service for availability. Radio broadcasts are available through team affiliates.
Who is Weber State’s player to watch?
Watch senior kicker Sloan Calder. He is tied for second nationally with 16 made field goals this season. He can be a key weapon in a close game.
What is the Red Rock Rivalry trophy?
It is a trophy awarded to the winner of this annual matchup. The rivalry was formally named in 2022. Northern Arizona has won the trophy the last two seasons.
What is Weber State’s overall record this season?
Weber State enters this game with a 3-8 overall record. Their Big Sky Conference record is 1-6. This is their final game of the 2025 season.
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