Ole Miss vs Mississippi State: 2025 Egg Bowl Prediction & Analysis

The 2025 Egg Bowl rivalry game is set for November 28 in Starkville. The No. 6 ranked Ole Miss Rebels face the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Ole Miss enters as a heavy favorite with a 10-1 record. Mississippi State seeks an upset to secure bowl eligibility with a 5-6 record.

This annual showdown carries immense weight for both programs. According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, Ole Miss holds a commanding 78% win probability. The Rebels’ high-powered offense will test a struggling Bulldogs defense.

Statistical Dominance Favors the Rebels

Ole Miss leads the all-time series with a decisive 66-46-6 record. They have won the last two consecutive matchups. This historical edge provides a psychological advantage.

The Rebels’ offense averages 37.2 points per game. That ranks 13th best in the nation. Mississippi State allows 28.4 points per game, which ranks 95th nationally.

Defensively, Ole Miss is equally impressive. They surrender just 20.2 points per contest. This two-score differential highlights the talent gap.

Key Matchups and Players to Watch

Ole Miss running back Kewan Lacy is the engine of their offense. He has rushed for 1,136 yards and 19 touchdowns this season. His production will be central to the Rebels’ game plan.

Mississippi State’s primary threat is wide receiver Brenen Thompson. He has recorded 47 receptions for 868 yards and 7 touchdowns. Containing him will be a priority for the Ole Miss secondary.

The quarterback matchup features Ole Miss’s efficient Trinidad Chambliss against Mississippi State’s Blake Shapen. Chambliss has thrown 14 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions. Shapen has 15 touchdowns but 8 interceptions.

Broader Implications for Both Programs

For Ole Miss, a victory solidifies an impressive 11-1 regular season. It strengthens their case for a premium New Year’s Six bowl bid. A loss would be a devastating blow to their postseason positioning.

Mississippi State’s entire season hinges on this game. A win grants them bowl eligibility and a successful conclusion to a tough year. A loss sends them home with a losing record.

The rivalry intensity ensures nothing can be taken for granted. Underdog victories define Egg Bowl history. Mississippi State will play with desperation.

The 2025 Egg Bowl prediction heavily favors an Ole Miss victory based on statistical analysis and current form. However, the fierce rivalry nature of this contest means Mississippi State will not go down easily. Expect a hard-fought battle with the Rebels’ superior talent ultimately prevailing.

Thought you’d like to know

What time does the 2025 Egg Bowl start?

The game is scheduled for a Thanksgiving evening kickoff. Check local listings for the exact broadcast time on ESPN.

Where is the Egg Bowl being played this year?

The 2025 matchup will be held at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. Mississippi State will have the home-field advantage.

What is Ole Miss’s record in the Egg Bowl?

Ole Miss holds a significant lead in the all-time series. They have 66 wins to Mississippi State’s 46 victories, with 6 ties.

What does Mississippi State need for bowl eligibility?

The Bulldogs must win the Egg Bowl to achieve a 6-6 record. This would make them eligible for postseason bowl game selection.

How has Ole Miss performed in SEC play?

The Rebels have compiled an impressive 6-1 record in conference games. Their only loss came against a top-ranked SEC opponent.

Who is the key player for Mississippi State?

Wide receiver Brenen Thompson is their most dynamic offensive weapon. Quarterback Blake Shapen must get him the ball consistently to have a chance.