The Oregon Ducks face their final test of the 2025 regular season this Saturday. Their College Football Playoff destiny rests on defeating the Washington Huskies. The high-stakes rivalry game kicks off in Seattle. According to Associated Press reports, a win secures Oregon’s spot in the national championship tournament.
Washington presents a significant challenge despite their underdog status. The Huskies boast an 8-3 record and are strong at home. This game is far from a guaranteed victory for the highly-ranked Ducks.

Betting Markets and Key Matchup Analysis
Oddsmakers initially list Oregon as a 6.5-point favorite. The total for the game is set firmly in the high 50s. These numbers reflect the expected offensive firepower from both teams.
Washington’s success hinges on quarterback Dante Moore. He threw for 257 yards and two touchdowns last week against USC. Moore’s 75.0 QBR this season makes him a legitimate NFL prospect.
Why Washington Could Disrupt Oregon’s Playoff Plans
Advanced metrics suggest this will be a tightly contested game. Washington ranks 15th nationally in net adjusted EPA per play. They also sit fifth in net success rate, outperforming Oregon in that specific category.
The Huskies’ offensive efficiency gives them a fighting chance. They rank 12th in adjusted EPA per play and fifth in offensive success rate. Playing at home provides an additional boost for staying competitive.
Oregon must play a complete game to secure their playoff berth and overcome a dangerous Washington squad. This rivalry clash promises high drama and significant national implications for the Ducks’ championship aspirations.
Dropping this nugget your way
What does Oregon need to make the College Football Playoff?
A victory against Washington guarantees them a spot. A loss would likely eliminate them from contention.
How has Washington performed against ranked teams this season?
They have a competitive record against top opponents. Their advanced metrics indicate they can challenge elite teams.
Who is the key player for Washington’s offense?
Quarterback Dante Moore is the central figure. He has posted a 75.0 QBR this season with consistent production.
Where does this game rank in importance for the Ducks?
It is their most critical game of the regular season. The playoff berth depends entirely on this outcome.
Why are advanced metrics favoring Washington to cover?
Their net success rate and EPA rankings are elite. These stats often correlate closely with on-field performance.
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