The South Florida Bulls are set for a high-stakes road game. They face the UAB Blazers on Saturday, November 22. Kickoff is at 3:00 PM EST at Protective Stadium in Birmingham. This American Athletic Conference matchup is one of the most lopsided on the weekend slate.

Analytics give the 7-3 Bulls a staggering 95% probability to win. They are favored by 21.5 points according to major sportsbooks. This reflects the stark contrast between two programs heading in opposite directions this season.
A Statistical Mismatch on Paper
South Florida’s offense has been among the nation’s best. The Bulls average 39.2 points per game, ranking them fifth nationally. Their offensive output of 492.3 yards per game is even more impressive, sitting at second in the country.
UAB’s defense has struggled throughout the year. The Blazers hold a 3-7 overall record and are just 1-5 in conference play. This sets the stage for a potential offensive showcase for the visiting Bulls.
Key player Byrum Brown is expected to have a significant impact for USF. The running back could see heavy volume against UAB’s defensive front. South Florida also holds a decisive +6 turnover margin, while UAB languishes at -12.
Recent History and Betting Trends
The all-time series between these teams is tied 2-2. However, South Florida won their most recent meeting in October 2023 by a comfortable margin. Current trends heavily favor the Bulls continuing their success.
USF has been excellent when favored this season. The team boasts a 4-1 record as moneyline favorites. Their perfect 5-0 record at home shows their ability to handle pressure, though this game is on the road.
UAB’s road record presents a major concern. The Blazers are 0-5 away from home this season. Facing a surging Bulls team, even at Protective Stadium, will be a monumental challenge for the home squad.
The South Florida Bulls have all the momentum and statistical advantages. They are positioned to cover the large spread and solidify their standing in the American Conference. This game could be decided by halftime if USF’s explosive offense finds its rhythm early.
Info at your fingertips
What is the spread for the USF vs. UAB game?
South Florida is a 21.5-point favorite. The total points over/under is set at 68.5 for the contest.
What time does the South Florida vs. UAB game start?
Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 PM Eastern Standard Time on Saturday, November 22.
What is USF’s win probability against UAB?
Advanced analytics give the South Florida Bulls a 95% chance of winning this conference matchup outright.
How has South Florida performed as a favorite this season?
The Bulls have been strong when expected to win. They hold a 4-1 record in games where they are the moneyline favorite.
Where can I watch the South Florida Bulls game?
The game will be televised on an ESPN network platform. Check local listings for the specific channel in your area.
What is UAB’s biggest weakness?
Turnover margin is a critical issue. UAB ranks 134th nationally with a -12 margin, which plays directly into USF’s strengths.
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