Matthew Stafford remains the favorite for NFL MVP honors. The Rams quarterback leads the betting odds heading into December. Rookie Drake Maye is closing the gap after a blistering month of play.

Dak Prescott also remains in the mix after a strong surge. The race is one of the closest in recent memory. According to USA Today, oddsmakers see Stafford as the current frontrunner.
Analyzing the Favorites and Market Movement
Stafford’s lead is built on consistent, high-level play. He has guided the Rams to a top offensive ranking. His experience in big moments gives him an edge with voters.
New England’s Drake Maye is the surprising contender. His November performance turned heads across the league. Analysts note his rapid development and clutch play as key factors.
Dak Prescott’s Cowboys are in the playoff hunt. His statistical production keeps him in the conversation. A strong finish could sway voters his way.
Key Factors That Will Decide the Winner
The final month of the regular season is critical. Head-to-head matchups and division games carry extra weight. A single loss can dramatically shift the narrative.
Team success remains the most important metric. Voters historically favor quarterbacks from top-seeded teams. This benefits Stafford and Prescott currently.
Individual statistics still matter for breaking ties. Passing yards, touchdowns, and efficiency are all scrutinized. Maye’s numbers are competitive with the veterans.
The NFL MVP odds will see significant movement before the season ends. This three-man race is too close to call with several games left to play.
Dropping this nugget your way-
Who is currently favored to win NFL MVP?
Matthew Stafford is the current betting favorite. His consistent play for a top Rams team gives him the edge. The gap to other contenders like Drake Maye is very small.
Why is Drake Maye in the MVP conversation?
The Patriots rookie had an exceptional November, leading his team to key wins. His performance against top defenses impressed analysts and voters. He has climbed rapidly in betting markets.
Can Dak Prescott still win the award?
Yes, Prescott remains a strong contender. If the Cowboys finish with the NFC’s best record, his case strengthens. His touchdown-to-interception ratio is among the league’s best.
When is the NFL MVP announced?
The award is announced at the NFL Honors ceremony. This event takes place the night before the Super Bowl. Voting is conducted by a panel of sportswriters and broadcasters.
How much do team records affect MVP voting?
Team success is heavily weighted. An MVP almost always comes from a playoff team. A top conference seed is a near-prerequisite for winning.
Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP?
No rookie has ever won the Associated Press NFL MVP award. Cleveland’s Jim Brown won the Rookie of the Year and MVP in 1957, but the MVP award was not officially presented by the AP until 1961.
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