Trump Approval Rating Sees Modest Gain Following Gaza Peace Deal

President Donald Trump’s approval rating has shown a slight uptick. This follows the successful Gaza peace deal announcement. The change comes from multiple major polling aggregators. The data covers early to mid-October 2025.

This minor recovery occurs amidst a domestic government shutdown. The conflicting events create a complex political landscape for the President. His role in the Middle East negotiation is being noticed by both supporters and critics.

Conflicting Polls Paint a Nuanced Picture

According to data from Nate Silver’s bulletin, Trump’s net approval improved. It moved from -10.3% in mid-September to -7.9% by October 14. This represents a clear, though modest, recovery for the President.

Other polls confirm this slight upward trend. Rasmussen Reports showed an improvement from -10 to -7 in the same period. Newsweek’s tracker also noted a one-point gain. However, a poll from The Economist presented a bleaker outlook, placing his net approval at -16%.

The Gaza peace deal was accepted on October 9. It involved a prisoner swap and a temporary ceasefire. Trump’s announcement of the deal, alongside Israeli PM Netanyahu, provided a significant foreign policy moment.

Domestic Headwinds Limit Political Gains

Analysts suggest the government shutdown has limited the political benefit from the peace deal. Public focus remains divided between international success and domestic turmoil. This has prevented a larger surge in approval.

Policy decisions on spending cuts and immigration have also contributed to his ratings. These factors have kept his disapproval numbers above 52% in several trackers. The foreign policy win was not enough to fully offset domestic discontent.

The situation highlights the challenge of maintaining political capital. A foreign policy victory can provide only a temporary boost. Lasting approval shifts often depend on resolving pressing domestic issues.

The recent polling data indicates that the Gaza peace deal provided President Trump with a measurable, if limited, boost to his approval rating. This foreign policy success momentarily cut through domestic challenges, though its long-term impact on his political standing remains uncertain amid ongoing fiscal battles in Washington.

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What was Trump’s approval rating before the Gaza deal?

Before the deal, his net approval was consistently in negative double digits. Nate Silver’s data showed it at -10.3% in mid-September, while other polls indicated similar figures.

Which polls showed an improvement for Trump?

Nate Silver’s bulletin, Rasmussen Reports, and Newsweek’s tracker all recorded slight improvements. Their data showed gains of one to three points in his net approval rating.

Why didn’t the peace deal provide a bigger boost?

The concurrent government shutdown dominated domestic news coverage. This limited the political benefit from the foreign policy achievement and kept public attention on domestic issues.

What is Trump’s current net approval rating?

As of mid-October, his net approval sits between -8% and -16% depending on the poll. The wide range reflects differing methodologies and respondent samples across polling organizations.

How do current ratings compare to earlier in his term?

They are significantly lower. Trump reached a net approval high of +11% in February 2025, but has since fallen into negative territory due to various domestic policy decisions.