AccuWeather has revised its white Christmas forecast. The update suggests fewer Americans will see snow this holiday. The reason is a widespread pattern of warmer-than-normal temperatures.

This new outlook shifts earlier seasonal predictions. It reflects recent data from national weather services. The change is significant for travel and holiday plans.
Warmer Temps Reshape Holiday Snow Map
The forecast defines a white Christmas as one inch of snow on the ground. This includes snow that falls on December 25th. Earlier predictions suggested broader snow chances.
According to AccuWeather, those initial maps are changing. The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center indicates a strong warm trend. This is especially true for the Plains, South, and Midwest.
Many of these same regions may also see less precipitation. This combination greatly reduces the likelihood of snow. It is a substantial shift from forecasts made just weeks ago.
Where Snow is Still Expected This Christmas
Despite the warmer trend, some areas still have high odds. AccuWeather’s update highlights several states with strong potential. These include the Rockies, the Pacific Northwest, and the northern Great Lakes.
Specific states like Colorado, Michigan, and Maine are on the list. Parts of the Northeast like Pennsylvania and New York also have a chance. This depends on a storm passing just before the holiday.
Meteorologist Scott Kleebauer spoke with CBS News. He said the best chances are in northern Wisconsin, Minnesota, and North Dakota. Northern New England also looks promising for a festive blanket of snow.
The broader impact is clear. Many families anticipating a classic white Christmas may see a greener one instead. This aligns with observed long-term warming trends during winter months.
The updated white Christmas forecast delivers a clearer, if less snowy, picture for the nation. Travelers and planners should consult local forecasts for the latest details as the holiday approaches.
Info at your fingertips
What is considered a white Christmas?
AccuWeather defines it as having at least one inch of snow on the ground on Christmas morning. This measurement includes any new snow that falls on the day itself.
Which US regions are most likely to have snow?
The highest probabilities are in the Rockies, the Pacific Northwest, and around the Great Lakes. Northern New England also has strong odds for a white Christmas this year.
Why is the forecast different now?
The National Weather Service predicts warmer-than-average temperatures for much of the country. This warming trend, especially in the central and eastern US, is reducing potential snow cover.
Were earlier forecasts wrong?
Seasonal forecasts are often updated as new data arrives. The earlier outlook was based on different patterns. The current forecast reflects the most recent weather model guidance.
Should I change my travel plans?
Always check your local forecast close to your travel date. While snow chances are lower in many areas, winter weather can still develop quickly and affect roads.
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