XRP is experiencing a major shift in its market structure. Data reveals that Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, now holds a record-low supply of the token. This significant withdrawal of nearly 300 million XRP since October has analysts talking about a potential supply shock. Such events often precede volatile price movements.According to CryptoPotato, Binance’s XRP reserves have plummeted to around 2.7 billion tokens. This mass exodus from exchanges suggests investors are moving assets into private wallets for long-term holding, a move typically seen as bullish.
Investor Confidence Clashes With Market Pressure
The data shows a clear trend of accumulation. The percentage of total XRP supply held on exchanges has hit a yearly low. On-chain analysts interpret this as a sign of strong holder conviction, anticipating future price appreciation.However, the current price action tells a different story. Despite the supply squeeze, XRP’s price has been struggling. It is down significantly over the past month. Large holders, or “whales,” have sold over 180 million XRP recently, creating sustained selling pressure.

A Lofty Valuation Faces Scrutiny
The recent price surge has placed XRP’s market valuation under a microscope. Analysis from The Motley Fool suggests the token’s current $132 billion market cap may be overinflated. While Ripple’s legal clarity is a positive, its real-world adoption in cross-border payments is still developing.The scale needed to justify its current valuation is immense. XRP’s market cap currently rivals major traditional finance firms. This highlights a significant gap between its present utility and its priced-in future promise.
The Broader Crypto Market Context
The entire cryptocurrency sector has faced headwinds. Macroeconomic factors like interest rate policies have pushed investors away from riskier assets. This environment has led to corrections across the board, affecting both Bitcoin and XRP.Bitcoin’s established network effects and proven resilience make it a benchmark. XRP’s journey is more niche, focused on a specific use case that is still gaining traction. The supply shock presents an interesting technical setup, but broader market sentiment remains a key driver.
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The coming weeks will be critical for XRP. The record-low exchange supply sets the stage, but buyer demand must materialize to capitalize on this potential supply shock. The market is watching the $2.00 support level closely for its next major move.
Info at your fingertips
What is a cryptocurrency supply shock?
A supply shock occurs when a large amount of an asset is rapidly withdrawn from trading exchanges. This reduces the readily available supply for sellers, which can lead to rapid price increases if buyer demand suddenly spikes.
Why is XRP’s price not rising despite low exchange supply?
Price is determined by both supply and demand. While supply on exchanges is down, significant selling pressure from large holders and a lack of new buying demand in the broader market have kept prices suppressed for now.
Who are “whales” in crypto?
Whales are individuals or entities that hold very large amounts of a cryptocurrency. Their trading activity, whether buying or selling, can move markets due to the sheer size of their transactions.
How does XRP’s situation compare to Bitcoin’s?
Bitcoin has a more established store-of-value narrative and broader institutional adoption. XRP is more focused on utility for payments. Their market dynamics can differ based on these distinct investor theses.
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