Zohran Mamdani’s lead in the New York City mayoral race is shrinking. Recent polling data shows his advantage has narrowed significantly. The general election is set for November 4.This tightening contest has captured national attention. The outcome will determine if the city elects its first Muslim mayor.
Polling Data Reveals a Tightening Contest
An Atlas poll surveyed approximately 1,500 likely voters. It shows Mamdani holding 40% support. Independent candidate Andrew Cuomo follows with 34%.Republican Curtis Sliwa trails with 24% of the vote. Mamdani’s lead over Cuomo is now just 6 percentage points. This is his slimmest margin since July, according to a New York Post report.Other polls present varying pictures of the race. A Fox News poll gave Mamdani a commanding 24-point lead. Suffolk University’s latest poll, however, shows his lead has been cut in half to just 10 points.

The Sliwa Factor and Potential for an Upset
Analysts point to one candidate who could dramatically influence the final result. That candidate is Republican Curtis Sliwa. His supporters may determine the winner.According to the Suffolk University Political Research Center, Sliwa’s voters hold a key position. When asked for a second choice, these voters heavily preferred Cuomo over Mamdani. This dynamic could block Mamdani from a victory.The race remains highly volatile. Even with a narrowed lead, Mamdani is still considered the frontrunner. Voter turnout will be critical on election day.
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The New York City mayoral race is entering its final, critical phase. Zohran Mamdani’s narrowed lead sets the stage for a dramatic finish. The political future of the city now rests with its voters.
Dropping this nugget your way-
Who is Zohran Mamdani?
Zohran Mamdani is a self-declared socialist and the Democratic nominee for New York City mayor. He is the son of filmmaker Mira Nair and scholar Mahmood Mamdani.
What was the result of the Democratic primary?
Mamdani defeated former Governor Andrew Cuomo in the June primary. This victory made him the Democratic party’s candidate for the general election.
Which polls show a narrowing race?
The Atlas poll shows a 6-point lead. A Suffolk University poll shows his lead was cut from 20 points to just 10 points in recent weeks.
Who has endorsed Mamdani’s campaign?
He has received backing from prominent figures like former President Barack Obama and former Vice President Kamala Harris. House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries has also shown support.
Why is Curtis Sliwa important in this election?
As the Republican candidate, Sliwa’s supporters could sway the outcome. Polls suggest his voters’ second choice strongly favors Cuomo, which could impact Mamdani’s chances.
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