Olivia Rodrigo is coming for her own record. GUTS 2, her follow-up to the 2023 album that dominated global charts, is tracking toward the biggest first-week numbers of her career as the chart week closes out Friday night.

Early sales and streaming data compiled by tracking services suggest the album is on pace to debut at number one on the Billboard 200 with a figure that could surpass the 200,000 album-equivalent units GUTS moved in its first week. Some projections have placed the opening figure as high as 250,000 units, though final numbers won’t be confirmed until the chart is published next week.

The album, released last Friday, immediately set first-day streaming records on Spotify and Apple Music. Three of its singles entered the Billboard Hot 100 top 10 within days of release, a feat only a handful of artists have achieved in the past decade.

Rodrigo was the defining pop voice of the mid-2020s, and GUTS 2 arrives as a test of whether she can hold that position against a crowded field of new artists. The early reception from listeners and critics suggests she can. The album carries the same raw, confessional tone that made her debut so compelling, but with a more polished production approach.

The album’s lead single has already been streamed more than 300 million times globally since its pre-release drop in May. That kind of runway usually signals a dominant chart run across multiple weeks, not just the opening frame.

Final first-week numbers will be confirmed when the new Billboard 200 chart is released next Wednesday.